Community Vulnerability Assessment

Oral

1632 - Integrated Modelling To Predict Landscape Evolution, Flooding, And Water Quality In Jamaica Bay, Ny

Presenting Author(s)

• 

  Heather Smith, PhD, PE

  Project Engineer
  ARCADIS

Additional Author #1(s)

• PO

  Philip Orton

Additional Author #2(s)

• ES

  Eric Sanderson

Additional Author #3(s)

• JF

  Jordan Fischbach, Ph.D.

  Senior Policy Researcher
  RAND Corporation

An integrated modelling framework was developed in order to investigate the efficacy and long term impact of differing restoration approaches within and around Jamaica Bay, NY. This framework couples a hydrodynamic model and a landscape evolution model to predict the response of the Bay to climate change over a 50 year time horizon. For each restoration approach, three metrics were assessed: the change in the landscape distribution; the change in the nuisance tidal flooding; and the change in the water quality within the Bay. No single restoration approach tested was able to meet all three metrics.