Future Shoreline Changes
Oral
James Houston, PhD
Director Emeritus
Engineer Research And Development Center
Shoreline change from 2016-2065 and 2016-2100 are projected for the Florida west coast. An equation is presented that has terms representing all processes causing shoreline area change. The past must be understood to project the future, so past shoreline changes from 1867-2015 are determined using historical shoreline change data and studies of processes causing shoreline change. The effect of each process on shoreline change is then projected into the future including using sea level projections of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change.